AUTHORED AND EDITED BOOKS

• American Defense Annual, 1994 (ed.) New York: Lexington, 1994.

• Violent Conflict in the 21^st Century: Causes, Instruments & Mitigation  (Charles Hermann, Harold K. Jacobson and Anne S. Moffat, eds.) Chicago, IL: American Academy of Arts & Sciences, 1999.

JOURNAL ARTICLES AND BOOK CHAPTERS

•  "An Attempt to Simulate the Outbreak of World War I" (with Margaret G. Hermann), American Political Science Review 61 (pp. 400-416) 1967

•   Reprinted in

•   James N. Rosenau (ed.) International Politics and Foreign Policy revised edition.  New York, N.Y.: Free Press (pp. 622-639) 1969.

•  Horst-Dieter Ronsch (ed.) Simulation Internationaler Prozesse. Opladen:  West German Press (pp. 347-374) 1972.

•  Harold Guetzkow, Philip Kotler, Randal L. Schultz (eds.) Simulation in Social and Administrative Science.  Englewood, N.J.: Prentice-Hall (pp. 340-363) 1972.

• "Counterattack of Delay: Characteristics Influencing Decision Makers' Responses to the Simulation of an Unidentified Attack" (with Margaret G. Hermann and Robert A. Cantor).  Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 18, No. 1, March 1974.

• "Decision Structure and Process Influence on Foreign Policy," in Charles F. Hermann et. al. (eds.) Why Nations Act.  Beverly Hills:  Sage Publications, 1978.

• "Simulating U.S. National Security Decision Making" (with Donald A. Sylvan). Simulation and Games, Vol. 10, No. 3, September 1979.

• "Instrumentalities" in Margaret G. Hermann, Patrick T. Callahan, and Linda P. Brady (eds.) Describing Foreign Policy Behaviors.  Beverly Hills, Calif.:  Sage 1981.

• "Substantive Problem Areas" (with Roger A. Coate) in Margaret G. Hermann, Patrick T. Callahan, and Linda P. Brady (eds.) Describing Foreign Policy Behaviors.  Beverly Hills, Calif.:  Sage, 1981.

• "Judgments of Country Specialists about Foreign Policy Formulation:  The Operation of Internal Decision Processes" in Gerald W. Hopple and James A. Kuhlman (eds.) Expert-Generated Data:  Applications in International Affairs. Boulder, Colo.:  Westview 1981.

• "Some Initial Problems and Possible Solutions in Measuring Detente Processes: Perspective of an American Social Scientist" in Daniel Frei (ed.) Definitions and Measurements of Detente:  East and West Perspectives,  Cambridge, Mass.: Oelgeschlager, Gunn, and Hain, 1981.

•  "Defining National Security" in John F. Reichart and Steven R. Sturm (eds.) American Defense Policy.  Baltimore:  Johns Hopkins University Press, 1982.

•  "Bureaucratic Constraints on Innovation in American Foreign Policy" in Charles W. Kegley, Jr. and Eugene R. Wittkopf (eds.) Perspectives on American Foreign Policy.  New York:  St. Martin's Press, 1983.

•  "Foreign Policy" in Stuart Nagel (ed.) Encyclopedia of Policy Studies.  New York:  Dekker, 1983.

• "Foreign Policy Research" (with Paul Labmert) in Stuart Nagel (ed.) Basic Literature in Policy Studies.  Greenwich, Conn.: Jai Press, 1984.

•  "War" Essay for Lincoln Library of Essential Information.  Columbus, Ohio: Frontier Press, 1984.

• "The Synthetic Role of Decision-Making Models in Theories of Foreign Policy:  Bases for a Computer Simulation" (with Margaret G. Hermann) in Michael D. Ward (ed.) Theories, Models and Simulations in International Relations.  Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1985.

• "New Foreign Policy Problems and Old Bureaucratic Organizations" in Charles W. Kegley and Eugene Wittkopf Perspectives on American Foreign Policy, New York:  St. Martin's Press, 1987.

•  "Trends Toward Crisis Instability:  Increasing the Danger of Nuclear War" in Steve Cimbala (ed.) Challenges to Deterrence in the 1990s.  New York:  Praeger Press, 1986.

• "The Evolution and Future of Theoretical Research in the Comparative Study of Foreign Policy" (with Gregory Peacock) in Charles F. Hermann, Charles W. Kegley, Jr., and James N. Rosenau (eds.) New Directions on the Study of Foreign Policy.  Boston:  Allen & Unwin, 1987.  Pp. 13-32.

• "Superpower Involvement with Others" in Stephen Walker Role Theory and Foreign Analysis.  Durham:  Duke University Press, 1987.

• "Enhancing Crisis Stability:  Correcting the Trend Toward Increasing Instability" in Gilbert R. Winham (ed.), New Issues in Crisis Management, Westview Press, 1988.

•  "Crisis Stability" in Joseph Kruzel (ed.) American Defense Annual:  1988-89. Lexington, Mass.: Lexington, 1988.

• "How Decision Units Shape Foreign Policy Behavior" (with Margaret G. Hermann and Joe D. Hagan) in C.F. Hermann, Charles W. Kegley, Jr., and James N. Rosenau (eds.) New Directions in the Study of Foreign Policy, Boston:  Allen and Unwin, 1987 (pp. 309-338).

• "On International Crises and National Security" in Edward A. Kolodziej and Patrick Morgan (eds.) International Security and Arms Control.  Westport, Conn.:  Greenwood Press, 1989.

• "New Foreign Policy Problems and Old Bureaucratic Organizations" in Charles W. Kegley, Jr. and Eugene R. Wittkopf (eds.) The Domestic Sources of American Foreign Policy:  Insights and Evidence.  New York:  St. Martin's Press, pp. 248-265.  1988.

• "Modeling the 1973 Soviet Decision to Support Egypt" (with Philip D. Stewart and Margaret G. Hermann) American Political Science Review 83, Number 1, March 1989. pp. 35-59.

• "Who Makes Foreign Policy Decisions and How:  An Empirical Inquiry" (with Margaret G. Hermann) International Studies Quarterly 33, Number 4, December 1989.  pp. 361-388.

• "The Situational Imperative:  A Predictive Model of Foreign Policy Behavior" (with Valerie M. Hudson, Eric Singer) Cooperation and Conflict XXIV, 1989.  pp. 117-139.

• "Changing Course:  When Governments Choose to Redirect Foreign Policy" International Studies Quarterly 34, Number 1, March 1990.  pp. 3-22.  (This article is an edited version of the International Studies Association presidential address delivered at the 30th Annual Convention, London, England, March 30, 1989.)

• "Hostage taking, the presidency, and stress" (with Margaret G. Hermann) in Walter Reich (ed.) Origins of Terrorism:  Psychologies, ideologies, theologies, states of mind.  Cambridge University Press, pp. 211-229.  1990.

• "Explaining Self-Defeating Foreign Policy Decisions: Response" (with Margaret G. Hermann).  American Political Science Review 86 (September 1992) 3.  Pp. 762-767.

• "Avoiding Pathologies in Foreign Policy Decision Groups" in Dan Caldwell and Timothy McKeown (eds.) Force, Diplomacy and Leadership.  Boulder, Co. Westview Press.  1994.

• "Building Relations: Possible Futures between the Successors to the Soviet Union and the United States" in Manus I. Midlarsky, John A. Vasquez, and Peter V. Gladkov (eds.) From Rivalry to Cooperation: Soviet and American Perspectives on the Post-Cold War Era.  New York: Harper Collins.  1994.

• "Reflections on Foreign Policy Theory Building" in Laura Neack, Jeanne A.K. Hey, and Patrick Haney  (eds.) Foreign Policy Analysis. Prentice Hall.  1994.

• "Bureaucracy" in Bruce W. Jentleson & Thomas G. Paterson (eds.) Encyclopedia of U.S. Foreign Relations. New York: Oxford University Press, 1997.

• “Problem Identification in Sequential Policy Decision Making: The Re-representation of Problems” (with Robert S. Billings) in Sylvan, Donald A. and James F. Voss (eds.) Problem Representation in Political Decision Making.  New York:  Cambridge University Press, 1998, pp. 53-79.

• “Resolve, Accept, or Avoid: Effects of Group Conflict on Foreign Policy Decisions” (with Janice Stein, Bengt Sundelius, and Stephen Walker) International Studies Review 3 (2, Summer)  Pp. 133-168, 2001.

• “People and Processes in Foreign Policymaking: Insights from Comparative Case Studies”(with Ryan Beasley, Juliet Kaarbo, Margaret Hermann) International Studies Review 3(2, summer) Pp. 217-250, 2001.

TECHNICAL RESEARCH / POLICY DOCUMENTS

• Studies in Deterrence:  Validation Studies of the Inter-Nation Simulation (with Margaret G. Hermann).  Final Report to U.S. Naval Ordnance Test Station, China Lake, California, December 1963 (NOTS TP 3351).

• Crisis in Foreign Policy Making.  Final Report to Project Michelson, U.S. Naval Ordnance Test Station, China Lake, California, April 1965 Contract N123 (60530) 32779A.

• Research Tasks for International Crisis Avoidance and Management.  A final report prepared for the Advanced Research Projects Agency, Human Resources Research Office of the Office of Naval Research (Contract N00014-75-C-0053) October 1975.

• Report to Commission on the Organization of the Government for the Conduct of Foreign Policy.  "Maintaining the Quality of Decision Making in Foreign Policy Crises:  A Proposal" (with Margaret G. Hermann).  Volume 2, pp. 124-136, June 1975.

• Force and Polity (with Allan R. Millett).  Quarterly Report.  Mershon Center, The Ohio State University.  Volume 3, Number 1:  Autumn 1977.

• Identifying Behavioral Attributes of Events that Trigger International Crises (with Robert E. Mason).  A final report prepared for the Advanced Research Projects Agency, Human Resources Research Office of the Office of Naval Research (Contract N00014-75-0765) October 1978.

• Simulations of Organizational Effects on Crisis and Other National Security Problems:  A Feasibility Study (with Donald A. Sylvan).  A final report prepared for the Advanced Research Projects Agency, Human Resources Research Office of the Office of Naval Research (Contract N00014-75-0765) October 1978.

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Last update: March 2024